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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2007
The Hydrogen Future
(Exerpt from The Extreme Future, James Canton, 2006)
Are you ready for cars that go 10,000 miles before they need a refill and cost pennies on the dollar? Get ready for hydrogen. It will change everything. Maybe.
Hydrogen is the most plentiful gas in the universe. It’s also a powerhouse– it has the highest […]
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Posted on Monday, March 12, 2007
A New Energy Age
(Extract from The Extreme Future, James Canton, 2006)
Several years ago, a former Saudi oil minister issued what has since become an oft-quoted prophecy: “The Stone Age did not end for lack of stone, and the Oil Age will end long before the world runs out of oil.” It was a lament, […]
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Posted on Monday, March 5, 2007
Patrick Shaw (Logic and its Limits, 1997) provides a simple demonstration of how group logic often fails to follow individual logic.
Order of Preference John Mary Bill
1st…………………………… X ………… Z ……… Y
2nd………………………….. Y ………… X ……… Z
3rd…………………………… Z ………… Y ……… X
Each individual can order his or her choices: first, second, third. John, for example, […]
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Posted on Monday, February 26, 2007
Logic arguments can move from these simple ‘if, then, therefore’ formats to more complex three or more interconnected statements. Consider this longer argument:
If interest rates fall below 5% Joe will invest in a portfolio of stocks instead of bonds. If Joe invests in stocks then he will expect a total return over five years of […]
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Posted on Wednesday, February 21, 2007
Sometimes invalid arguments appear in the netgative form, such as…
If Golden Delicious are pears then they are fruits. Golden Delicious are not pears. Therefore they are not fruits.
Or,
If stock XYZ has a high PE ratio (>25) then it is a growth stock. Stock XYZ does not have a high PE ratio. Therefore stock XYZ […]
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Posted on Wednesday, February 21, 2007
The importance of moving from Sherlock Holmes-like arguments to Einstein-like arguments…
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Posted on Wednesday, February 14, 2007
Logic, in the technical sense, refers not to rationality in general but to inferring the truth of one statement from the truth of other statements based only on their form, not their content…
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Posted on Monday, February 12, 2007
I tend to look at stock markets in much the same way that a quantum physicist looks at photons…
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Posted on Wednesday, February 7, 2007
Why is GE the most admired company in the world…
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Posted on Monday, February 5, 2007
Throwing Spears — Overconfidence…
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